Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 8.089277 9.251318 10.534977 12.060428 13.826773 15.811227 18.214624
2025-07-20 6.624682 8.152690 9.978228 12.328600 15.287004 18.903541 23.684627
2025-07-27 5.844648 7.584324 9.784540 12.789029 16.812316 22.051981 29.454869
2025-08-03 5.023047 6.797192 9.144748 12.505038 17.235162 23.720594 33.397144
2025-08-10 4.431869 6.216669 8.671956 12.332782 17.715192 25.435769 37.524449
2025-08-17 3.963814 5.739401 8.267578 12.176586 18.152416 27.080133 41.684455
2025-08-24 3.568701 5.316712 7.884007 11.986275 18.484062 28.559716 45.719849
2025-08-31 3.225088 4.930958 7.508175 11.752282 18.697844 29.844982 49.555393
2025-09-07 3.092741 4.852245 7.586541 12.227459 20.076328 33.119738 57.080448
2025-09-14 2.903913 4.663671 7.469235 12.364033 20.895158 35.533655 63.390240
2025-09-21 2.704089 4.437318 7.266696 12.330755 21.407777 37.456554 69.027096
2025-09-28 2.505358 4.194287 7.012674 12.178860 21.685498 38.974495 74.068970
2025-10-05 2.415459 4.131244 7.062752 12.575983 23.013207 42.583665 83.690867
2025-10-12 2.313648 4.038145 7.051216 12.858118 24.153700 45.964510 93.314636
2025-10-19 2.249905 4.006373 7.144084 13.340008 25.723111 50.347368 105.611471
2025-10-26 2.082650 3.771692 6.845933 13.042816 25.716144 51.557655 111.228926
2025-11-02 1.946663 3.584048 6.619322 12.862562 25.923276 53.222853 118.067404
2025-11-09 1.825016 3.413841 6.411529 12.699123 26.144829 54.934999 125.234386
2025-11-16 1.709711 3.246916 6.196487 12.499996 26.267188 56.438548 132.104601
2025-11-23 1.599028 3.080723 5.969755 12.255178 26.263048 57.654530 138.434315
2025-11-30 1.575715 3.086531 6.087362 12.752354 27.958488 62.932038 155.680421
2025-12-07 1.517284 3.016535 6.044260 12.895264 28.860160 66.453158 168.916980
2025-12-14 1.445811 2.914338 5.926167 12.860442 29.342356 69.018851 179.987190